For 4QFY2010, Motherson Sumi Systems reported revenues of Rs. 2,028 crore, up 140.5% over the previous year, exceeding expectations. Net profit increased 84.5% to Rs. 141.9 crore, boosted by favorable currency movements. The company saw margins improve both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter due to lower raw material costs and currency benefits. For the full year, the company expects continued revenue growth driven by a strong order book, with improving margins as operations gain efficiency.
1. 4QFY2010 Result Update I Auto Ancillary
May 18, 2010
Motherson Sumi Systems BUY
CMP Rs137
Performance Highlights Target Price Rs167
For 4QFY2010, Motherson Sumi Systems (MSSL) clocked a 140.5% yoy Investment Period 12 Months
growth in consolidated Net Sales to Rs2,028cr (Rs843cr), which exceeded our
expectations. The numbers for the quarter are not exactly comparable, as Stock Info
4QFY2009 included only the one month results of Samvardhana Motherson
Sector Auto Ancillary
Visiocorp Solution (SMR, acquired during that quarter). The company’s
Bottom-line registered a significant increase of 84.5% yoy to Rs141.9cr Market Cap (Rs cr) 5,213
(Rs76.9cr). We have upgraded our consolidated EPS estimates for FY2011E
Beta 0.7
and FY2012E, on account of the better-than-expected 4QFY2010
performance by the company. We maintain a Buy on the stock. 52 WK High / Low 157 / 63
SMR turns positive at the PAT level in 2HFY2010: SMR registered a positive Avg. Daily Volume 102377
PAT in 2HFY2010. Further, during FY2010, SMR received orders for the Face Value (Rs) 1
supply of mirrors worth approximately Euro 700mn, to be supplied over the
life of the new models to be launched in 2011. MSSL has been in the process BSE Sensex 16,876
of restructuring the assets acquired through SMR and registered a qoq Nifty 5,060
improvement in Margins. The company achieved its target of around an 8%
EBITDA margin in 4QFY2010 on the SMR front. The company stands by its Reuters Code MOSS.BO
resolve to improve the EBITDA and to generate a decent RoCE.
Bloomberg Code MSS @IN
Outlook and Valuation: We expect MSSL’s consolidated Net Sales to register a Shareholding Pattern (%)
substantial growth over FY2010-12E, aided by its strong order-book position.
On the Margin front, we have modeled an improvement in the OPM in Promoters 67.5
FY2011E and FY2012E, owing to higher utilisation levels in the domestic and MF/Banks/Indian FIs 13.6
overseas operations, where the company is expected to achieve better
Operating leverage. We estimate the company to clock a consolidated EPS of FII/NRIs/OCBs 10.2
Rs9 for FY2011E and Rs11.1 for FY2012E. At the CMP, the stock is trading at Indian Public 8.7
15.1x FY2011E and 12.3x FY2012E consolidated Earnings (fully diluted).
Considering the company’s prospects after the restructuring of SMR and the Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
fact that it is one of the few ancillary companies registering decent numbers,
Sensex 3.4 18.1 18.0
despite having a high presence in overseas markets, we maintain a Buy on
the stock, with a Target Price of Rs167, at which the stock would trade at 15x
Motherson 7.7 76.6 84.4
FY2012E EPS.
Key Financials
Y/E March (Rs cr) FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 2,640 6,924 8,120 9,192
% chg 28.7 162.3 17.3 13.2
Net Profit 176 286 350 432
% chg 11.0 62.0 22.6 23.2
OPM (%) 10.7 10.0 11.3 11.5
EPS (Rs) 4.9 6.5 9.0 11.1
P/E (x) 27.8 21.1 15.1 12.3
P/BV (x) 6.2 4.4 3.9 3.5
RoE (%) 26.7 29.4 27.7 29.7
RoCE (%) 11.8 21.7 28.5 31.5
Vaishali Jajoo
EV/Sales (x) 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.5
Tel: 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 344
EV/EBITDA (x) 18.6 7.6 5.8 5.0
E-mail: vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
Source: Company, Angel Research
1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
2. Motherson Sumi Systems I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Consolidated Results above expectations; Forex gain boosts Bottom-line
For 4QFY2010, MSSL clocked a 140.5% yoy growth in Net Sales to Rs2,028cr
(Rs843cr), which exceeded our expectations. The numbers for the quarter are not
exactly comparable, as 4QFY2009 include only the one month results of
Samvardhana Motherson Visiocorp Solution (acquired during that quarter). The
company’s Sales growth came largely on the back of this inorganic operation,
wherein MSSL’s outside-India Revenue jumped by a significant 187.4% yoy to
Rs1,306cr (Rs454cr). The company’s Bottom-line also registered a significant
increase of 84.5% yoy to Rs141.9cr (Rs76.9cr), which again surpassed our
expectation for the quarter. The Net Profit recorded a substantial jump, due to
favourable currency movements (helped it register a Forex gain of Rs40cr) during the
quarter.
Lower Raw Material and favourable currency movements push Margins up
yoy; qoq improvement seen on improved, higher Operating efficiencies
For 4QFY2010, MSSL witnessed a 361bp yoy increase in its EBITDA Margin to
14.8% (11.2%) owing to favourable currency movements and a 336bp yoy decline
in Raw Material costs. Other expenditure, however, recorded a yoy increase of
180bp, while Staff cost to Sales remained flat yoy. The OPM improved by around
387bp on a qoq basis as well. Thus, the higher Top-line aided Operating Profit
growth, which surged by 217.8% yoy to Rs301.1cr during 4QFY2010. However,
higher Interest and Depreciation resulted in a 84.5% yoy jump in the Net Profit to
Rs141.9cr.
Exhibit 1: 4QFY2010 Performance (Consolidated)
Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Net Sales (include Other
2,028 843 140.5 6,924 2,640 162.3
Op. Inc.)
Consumption of RM 1,193 524 127.5 4,166 1,549 168.9
(% of Sales) 58.8 62.2 60.2 58.7
Staff Costs 301.9 126.2 139.3 1,131.9 344.0 229.1
(% of Sales) 14.9 15.0 16.3 13.0
Exchange Fluctuation (51.8) (4.9) 951.1 (64.9) 33.1 (296.1)
(% of Sales) (2.6) (0.6) (0.9) 1.3
Other Expenses 283.9 102.9 175.9 996.1 418.7 137.9
(% of Sales) 14.0 12.2 14.4 15.9
Total Expenditure 1,727 749 130.7 6,229 2,345 165.6
Operating Profit 301.1 94.8 217.8 695.0 294.7 135.9
OPM 14.8 11.2 10.0 11.2
Interest 21.5 11.2 91.7 62.0 35.4 75.0
Depreciation 77.7 35.4 119.6 260.1 97.9 165.7
Other Income 0.7 2.4 (71.7) 12.9 5.0 159.5
PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 202.7 50.6 300.6 385.8 166.3 132.0
Extr. Income/(Expense) 24.0 (43.5) - 33.7 (44.8) -
PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 178.7 94.1 89.9 352.1 211.1 66.8
(% of Sales) 8.8 11.2 5.1 8.0
Provision for Taxation 36.8 17.2 114.0 109.4 34.9 213.7
(% of PBT) 20.6 18.3 31.1 16.5
Reported PAT 141.9 76.9 84.5 242.7 176.3 37.7
PATM 7.0 9.1 3.5 6.7
Equity capital (cr) 37.5 35.6 37.5 35.6
EPS (Rs) 3.8 2.2 75.1 6.5 5.0 30.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 18, 2010 2
3. Motherson Sumi Systems I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Standalone Performance
On a Standalone basis as well, the company reported a robust 69.9% yoy growth in
its Top-line to Rs552cr (Rs325cr), and a 242.3% yoy increase in the Bottom-line to
Rs57.9cr (Rs16.4cr). The Net Profit includes an exchange difference profit of Rs40cr
(Rs1.3cr loss in 4QFY2009). The OPM (excluding exchange differences) stood higher
at 19.4% (17.9%). Raw material and Staff costs have witnessed a decline on a yoy
basis, while the Other expenditure increased by about 147bp yoy.
Exhibit 2: 4QFY2010 Performance (Standalone)
Y/E March (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Net Sales (include Other Op.
551.9 324.8 69.9 1,758.1 1,322.9 32.9
Inc.)
Consumption of RM 315.8 189.9 66.3 1,022.2 779.5 31.1
(% of Sales) 57.2 58.5 58.1 58.9
Staff Costs 44.9 32.2 39.6 164.5 136.0 21.0
(% of Sales) 8.1 9.9 9.4 10.3
Exchange Fluctuation (40.0) 1.3 - (55.5) 31.8 -
(% of Sales) (7.3) 0.4 (3.2) 2.4
Other Expenses 84.0 44.7 88.0 264.8 205.2 29.1
(% of Sales) 15.2 13.8 15.1 15.5
Total Expenditure 404.7 268.1 51.0 1,396.0 1,152.3 21.1
Operating Profit 147.2 56.8 159.3 362.1 170.5 112.4
OPM 26.7 17.5 20.6 12.9
Interest 5.7 7.2 (20.3) 26.5 29.1 (8.9)
Depreciation 18.4 14.9 23.6 64.6 54.5 18.5
Other Income 1.1 2.0 (42.7) 16.0 9.3 71.7
PBT (excl. Extr. Items) 124.2 36.7 238.5 287.0 96.2 198.2
Extr. Income/(Expense) 20.0 11.0 - 20.0 11.0 -
PBT (incl. Extr. Items) 104.2 25.7 305.6 267.0 85.2 213.3
(% of Sales) 18.9 7.9 15.2 6.4
Provision for Taxation 46.3 9.3 399.0 88.6 15.7 464.2
(% of PBT) 44.4 36.1 33.2 18.4
Reported PAT 57.9 16.4 252.8 178.5 69.5 156.6
PATM 10.5 5.1 10.2 5.3
Equity capital (cr) 37.5 35.6 37.5 35.6
EPS (Rs) 1.5 0.5 242.3 4.8 2.0 143.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
Segment-wise Performance
The Auto Segment clocked an 83.2% yoy increase in Sales to Rs539cr (Rs294cr),
while Non-Auto Sales jumped 84.6% yoy to Rs49.5cr (Rs26.8cr) in 4QFY2010. The
Auto Segment EBIT increased by almost 186.3% yoy to Rs95.2cr (Rs33.2cr), while
Non-Auto EBIT spiked a substantial 139.5% yoy to Rs8.3cr (Rs3.5cr) during the
quarter.
May 18, 2010 3
4. Motherson Sumi Systems I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Exhibit 3: 4QFY2010 Segmental Performance
Y/E Mar (Rs cr) 4QFY10 4QFY09 % chg FY10 FY09 % chg
Total Net Sales 613.7 327.9 87.2 1,845.7 1,343.6 37.4
Auto Segment 538.8 294.1 83.2 1,593.5 1,168.5 36.4
Non-Auto Segment 49.5 26.8 84.6 178.8 147.0 21.6
Other Segments 25.4 6.9 73.5 28.0
Total EBIT 103.5 36.7 181.9 238.8 120.4 98.4
Auto Segment 95.2 33.2 186.3 209.8 108.0 94.3
Non-Auto Segment 8.3 3.5 139.5 29.1 12.4 134.0
EBIT Margin (%) 16.9 11.2 12.9 9.0
Auto Segment 17.7 11.3 13.2 9.2
Non-Auto Segment 16.8 12.9 16.3 8.5
Source: Company, Angel Research
SMR turns positive at the PAT level in 2HFY2010
During 4QFY2009, MSSL acquired a global company in the business of rear view
mirrors from Visiocorp PLC, with Revenues in excess of Euro 660mn and a
normalised EBITDA of approximately Euro 48mn during 2007. Visiocorp PLC was
one of the largest players in the rear view mirror business and its customers include
General Motors, Ford, Hyundai, Volkswagen, Renault/Nissan, Mercedes Benz, BMW,
Audi, Tata JLR and Maruti Suzuki.
The acquired entity was incorporated as Samvardhana Motherson Reflectec (SMR) in
New Jersey on March 6, 2009, and 95% was owned by Samvardhana Motherson
Global Holdings (SMGHL). The deal was executed for a cash consideration of Euro
24.8mn and the issue of consideration shares amounting to Euro 1.5mn to the
lenders of the erstwhile Visiocorp Group. SMGHL is a JV between the company and
Samvardhana Motherson Finance through their overseas 100% subsidiaries
(incorporated in Mauritius). SMGHL has acquired various operating companies
engaged in the design, manufacture, assembly of rear view mirrors, operating in
Europe, America, Australia and Asia (including India), where MSSL has a successful
joint venture (JV), in which it holds 49% stake.
SMR registered a positive PAT in 2HFY2010. Additionally, during FY2010, SMR
received orders for the supply of mirrors worth approximately Euro 700mn to be
supplied over the life of the new models to be launched in 2011. MSSL has been in
the process of restructuring the assets acquired through SMR and registered a qoq
improvement in Margins. The company achieved its target of around an 8% EBITDA
margin in 4QFY2010 on the SMR front. The company stands by its resolve to
improve the EBITDA and to generate a decent RoCE.
Exhibit 4: SMR Performance
(Rs cr) 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 FY10
Net Sales 882.4 973.9 1,120.6 1,181.9 4,158.7
India 32.2 36.4 42.3 48.4 159.3
Outside India 850.2 937.5 1,078.2 1,133.5 3,999.5
PBIDT 15.1 45.2 72.8 103.1 236.2
OPM(%) 1.7 4.6 6.5 8.7 5.7
Exceptional Inc. / (exp) (17.1) (22.9) (9.0) 92.1 43.0
PAT (44.4) (24.3) 9.2 68.1 8.7
Minority Share (22.1) (13.8) 4.4 34.1 2.8
PAT (22.3) (10.5) 4.7 33.8 5.9
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 18, 2010 4
5. Motherson Sumi Systems I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Outlook and Valuation
MSSL is a leader in Wire Harnessing, controlling over 65% of the domestic
passenger vehicle (PV) market and around a 48% market share in the domestic Rear
View Mirror market. After the recent acquisition, the company now controls around
25% of the global Rear View Mirror market. The company is now focusing on the
supply of higher level assemblies and modules, where Margins are comparatively
higher. MSSL is also increasing its content per car, in a bid to diversify its product
portfolio. The company is laying emphasis on its global product plan (GPP), where it
is looking at setting up JVs with leading Tier-I suppliers to upgrade its technology
base and to bolster its clientele as well.
We expect MSSL’s consolidated Net Sales to register a substantial growth over
FY2010-12E, aided by its strong order-book position. On the Margin front, we have
modeled an improvement in the OPM in FY2011E and FY2012E, owing to higher
utilisation levels in the domestic and overseas operations, where the company is
expected to achieve better Operating leverage.
We estimate the company to clock a consolidated EPS of Rs9 for FY2011E and
Rs11.1 for FY2012E. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 15.1x FY2011E and 12.3x
FY2012E consolidated Earnings (fully diluted). Considering the company’s prospects
after the restructuring of SMR and the fact that it is one of the few ancillary
companies registering decent numbers, despite having a high presence in overseas
markets, we maintain a Buy on the stock, with a Target Price of Rs167, at which the
stock would trade at 15x FY2012E EPS.
Exhibit 5: One year forward P/E Band
200
180 19x
160
140 15x
Share Price (Rs)
120
11x
100
80
7x
60
40
20
0
Apr-02
Apr-03
Apr-04
Apr-05
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
Apr-09
Apr-10
Oct-02
Oct-03
Oct-04
Oct-05
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 6: One year forward EV/EBIDTA Band
9,000
9x
8,000
7,000
7x
6,000
5,000
EV (Rs cr)
5x
4,000
3,000 3x
2,000
1,000
0
Apr-02
Apr-03
Apr-04
Apr-05
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
Apr-09
Apr-10
Oct-02
Oct-03
Oct-04
Oct-05
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 18, 2010 5
9. Motherson Sumi Systems I 4QFY2010 Result Update
Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement Motherson Sumi
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No
3. Angel and its Group companies’ Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies.
.
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Tel: (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800
Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE:
INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946
Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM /
CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302
May 18, 2010 9